Weekly Market Commentary

Large caps may be better positioned than small caps, given where we are in the business cycle.

Fundamentals remain sound, valuations are reasonable, and most technical indicators we follow point to further potential gains ahead.

During the 10-year bull market, the S&P 500 Index has more than quadrupled in value.

Recent gains eliminated oversold conditions and pushed valuations higher, raising the bar for further gains and making the next leg higher more difficult to achieve.

The rally continues, as the S&P 500 Index gained for the seventh week out of the past eight, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Russell 2000 Index, and Nasdaq all closed higher for the eighth consecutive week.

Tax cuts boosted earnings growth by 7–8 percentage points. Revenues (which are not impacted by the tax cuts) are tracking to a healthy 6% increase, similar to prior expectations.

2019 is off to a roaring start, as the S&P 500 Index gained 7.9% for its best January since 1987.

The Fed will likely pause interest rate hikes at its policy meeting this week. The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets this week, culminating in its rate decision on Wednesday, January 30…

Following last week’s rejection of Theresa May’s Brexit plan, we discuss what’s next for the United Kingdom and possible market implications…

Consensus estimates from Thomson Reuters are for a 14.5% year-over-year increase in S&P 500 earnings for the quarter…