Recent gains eliminated oversold conditions and pushed valuations higher, raising the bar for further gains and making the next leg higher more difficult to achieve.
Research
The Rally Continues | Weekly Market Commentary | February 19, 2019
The rally continues, as the S&P 500 Index gained for the seventh week out of the past eight, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Russell 2000 Index, and Nasdaq all closed higher for the eighth consecutive week.
Key Takeaways from Fourth Quarter Earnings | Weekly Market Commentary | February 11, 2019
Tax cuts boosted earnings growth by 7–8 percentage points. Revenues (which are not impacted by the tax cuts) are tracking to a healthy 6% increase, similar to prior expectations.
Market Insight Monthly | January 2019
Rising economic uncertainty also weighed on business and consumer confidence data.
That Was the Easy Part | Weekly Market Commentary | February 4, 2019
2019 is off to a roaring start, as the S&P 500 Index gained 7.9% for its best January since 1987.
Is the Fed Almost Done? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 28, 2019
The Fed will likely pause interest rate hikes at its policy meeting this week. The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets this week, culminating in its rate decision on Wednesday, January 30…
Brexit Clouds Linger | Weekly Market Commentary | January 22, 2019
Following last week’s rejection of Theresa May’s Brexit plan, we discuss what’s next for the United Kingdom and possible market implications…
Fourth Quarter Earnings Preview: From Great to Good | Weekly Market Commentary | January 14, 2019
Consensus estimates from Thomson Reuters are for a 14.5% year-over-year increase in S&P 500 earnings for the quarter…
Market Insight Quarterly | Fourth Quarter 2018
Gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.4% in the third quarter on an annualized basis, capping its strongest two quarters of growth in four years…
Market Insight Monthly | December 2018
Economic trends generally improved in December, even amid some of the most significant financial market volatility of the bull market…