LPL Research is downgrading its 2021 U.S. GDP growth forecast from 6.25–6.75% to 5.75 6.25%. Growth is likely to come in at an annualized pace near 5% over the second half of the year. So, while expectations have been tempered, the recovery still has a lot of...
Until recently, we expected the 10-year Treasury yield to end the year between 1.75% and 2.0%. Now, however, there are two key elements suggesting we are unlikely to see significantly higher interest rates by year end: The Delta variant’s impact on economic growth...
Several policy-related risks loom in September and October that may lead to an increase in market volatility. The debt ceiling needs to be raised (likely by mid-October), the government needs to be funded to avoid a shutdown by the end of September, and the Democrats...
Key changes from August’s report: Upgrading Midcap Stocks from Neutral to Positive Stocks rose for the seventh straight month in August, as the S&P 500 Index gained 2.9%. Historically, September is the worst month of the year for stocks, on average, and we...
First and foremost, this week’s commentary should not be construed to suggest that we are saying stocks will go up forever. We are also not saying that stocks are immune from a pullback in the final four months of 2021. Corrections are a normal part of investing and...
