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Outlook For U.S. Economy Continues To Brighten | Weekly Market Commentary | February 12, 2024

When we wrote the annual outlook last November, the data was mixed. Some metrics hinted at emerging cracks in the economy while others suggested the growth trajectory in capital markets and the economy had legs. So, the variety of the data produced the narrative that...

Will The January Barometer Come Through? | Weekly Market Commentary | February 5, 2024

A positive January has historically been a bullish sign for stocks. Yale Hirsch, creator of the “Stock Trader’s Almanac”, first discovered this seasonal pattern back in 1972, which he called the January Barometer and coined its popular tagline of ‘As goes January, so...

Is Too Much Optimism Priced In? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 29, 2024

With the S&P 500 having recently ascended to a fresh record high after such a strong 2023, it’s natural for investors to worry that valuations have become over-extended. On traditional valuation measures, valuations do appear high and it does seem reasonable to...

Will Shipping Disruptions Alter Fed Plans? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 22, 2024

Shipping disruptions in the Red Sea could temporarily impact goods prices but not at the same magnitude as during the pandemic. Tight financial conditions, slowing economic growth, and a disinflationary trend all support the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) pivot away from...

China 2024 Faces Demanding Challenges | Weekly Market Commentary | January 8, 2024

As China emerged a year ago from the shadow of the stringent zero COVID-19-related measures that all but shut down its economy for over two years, much was expected in terms of its economic growth prospects. There were numerous reports suggesting the world’s second...
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Recent Posts

  • Economy in Uncharted Waters | Weekly Market Commentary | July 28, 2025
  • Midyear Fixed Income, Currency, and Commodity Markets Outlook: Higher for Longer | Weekly Market Commentary | July 21, 2025
  • Midyear Stock Market Outlook: Path to Upside Clouded with Uncertainty | Weekly Market Commentary | July 14, 2025
  • Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations
  • Strategic Time Horizon Supports Allocation to Non-U.S. Equities | Weekly Market Commentary | June 30, 2025

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